Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 6.009286 6.635333 7.303651 8.071045 8.928927 9.859636 10.947420
2025-12-21 5.014818 5.884091 6.876242 8.096183 9.560942 11.269360 13.422085
2025-12-28 4.422920 5.459339 6.710550 8.341226 10.423326 13.010063 16.493886
2026-01-04 3.955364 5.096025 6.540394 8.519413 11.185026 14.685713 19.688355
2026-01-11 3.542338 4.734312 6.306842 8.557083 11.733273 16.114372 22.716149
2026-01-18 3.175393 4.381141 6.029737 8.480614 12.086548 17.283598 25.499201
2026-01-25 2.861564 4.060989 5.753875 8.358081 12.335686 18.301743 28.156756
2026-02-01 2.594476 3.776473 5.493282 8.217563 12.523419 19.223579 30.752492
2026-02-08 2.364606 3.522179 5.248087 8.065993 12.662873 20.064559 33.297518
2026-02-15 2.188725 3.331710 5.078463 8.008590 12.934935 21.131743 36.339168
2026-02-22 2.085034 3.242519 5.055148 8.178664 13.590978 22.898669 40.827709
2026-03-01 1.951350 3.093173 4.920800 8.147327 13.892852 24.075026 44.375382
2026-03-08 1.796766 2.900431 4.704230 7.963485 13.922006 24.793712 47.209084
2026-03-15 1.683036 2.766583 4.574825 7.919178 14.197776 25.997068 51.174075
2026-03-22 1.622297 2.717445 4.585152 8.124745 14.957931 28.206898 57.528735
2026-03-29 1.558549 2.657536 4.570723 8.281622 15.639303 30.340367 64.047731
2026-04-05 1.481024 2.566862 4.493195 8.310448 16.068612 32.010101 69.795623
2026-04-12 1.395335 2.454812 4.367310 8.232826 16.271487 33.226261 74.685234
2026-04-19 1.311440 2.339843 4.226815 8.112584 16.371083 34.228003 79.215887
2026-04-26 1.232559 2.228601 4.084794 7.975856 16.419751 35.119583 83.611869
2026-05-03 1.158893 2.122157 3.944047 7.828860 16.429692 35.921903 87.906084
2026-05-10 1.101514 2.043118 3.850954 7.773158 16.635944 37.202507 93.659139
2026-05-17 1.072358 2.017052 3.860792 7.937605 17.359254 39.802136 103.421527